George Friedman Knihy

Významná nová kniha od autora bestselleru (Příštích 100 let) a geopolitického prognostika George Friedmana s odvážnými fakty o budoucích událostech v Evropě.

Jak došlo k tomu, že Spojené státy jsou tak rozdělené a neklidné? George Friedman, uznávaný geopolitický prognostik, se ve své nové knize zabývá touto otázkou, kterou si klade většina Američanů. Začíná zkoumáním klíčových momentů amerických dějin, kdy se stát rychle transformoval z kolonie na dominantní světovou mocnost. Friedman identifikuje dva hlavní geopolitické cykly, které ovlivňují vývoj USA po dobu dvou a půl století. Prvním je „institucionální cyklus“, trvající osmdesát let, který zahrnuje zásadní události jako válku za nezávislost, občanskou válku a druhou světovou válku, a nyní se blíží k nové krizi ve 20. letech 21. století. Druhým je „socioekonomický cyklus“, který se objevuje každých padesát let a formuje průmyslové a střední třídy. Friedman odhaluje, že oba cykly kulminují v jednom desetiletí, což je bezprecedentní. Dnešní politické a kulturní napětí, včetně Trumpa a kulturních válek, jsou příznaky nadcházející krize. Autor se zaměřuje na výzvy, jako je role federální vlády, mezinárodní konflikty a budoucnost společenské smlouvy. Friedman věří, že období po 20. letech přinese silnější a stabilnější USA. Jeho analýzy spojují minulost, přítomnost a budoucnost, což činí jeho prognózy relevantními a přesahujícími politiku.

Předpověď pro jednadvacáté století. Zakladatel soukromé zpravodajské agentury Strategic Forecasting předpovídá celosvětový politický vývoj pro 21. století. Autor ve svých prognózách vychází z mnoha čitelných současných trendů, geopolitických zájmů významných států, jejich silných stránek i slabin, a dovádí je do logických důsledků. Poutavě a přístupně extrapoluje politický, sociální i kulturní vývoj současných i budoucích světových mocností a předpovídá, že přesun mocenských center a s ním spojený úpadek americké nadvlády jsou v nadcházejícím století nevyhnutelnou věcí. Vyhneme se přitom rozpoutání celosvětové války?

In his riveting new book, noted forecaster and bestselling author George Friedman turns to the future of the United States. Examining the clear cycles through which the United States has developed, upheaved, matured, and solidified, Friedman breaks down the coming years and decades in thrilling detail. American history must be viewed in cycles-particularly, an eighty-year "institutional cycle" that has defined us (there are three such examples-the Revolutionary War/founding, the Civil War, and World War II), and a fifty-year "socio-economic cycle" that has seen the formation of the industrial classes, baby boomers, and the middle classes. These two major cycles are both converging on the late 2020s-a time in which many of these foundations will change. The United States will have to endure upheaval and possible conflict, but also, ultimately, increased strength, stability, and power in the world. Friedman's analysis is detailed and fascinating, and covers issues such as the size and scope of the federal government, the future of marriage and the social contract, shifts in corporate structures, and new cultural trends that will react to longer life expectancies. This new book is both provocative and entertaining

Targeting practical engineers, this book delves into multidimensional mathematical models, emphasizing a balance between analytical and visual understanding. Unlike many graph theory texts, it incorporates topological illustrations, enhancing comprehension. It distinguishes itself from Eliyahu Goldratt's Theory of Constraints, which emerged in the 1980s, by focusing on a mathematical foundation for complexity that the author originally defined in his 1967 dissertation. The work aims to enrich the qualitative nature of Systems Engineering with a more rigorous mathematical approach.

A fascinating portrait of modern-day Europe, with special focus on significant political, cultural, and geographical flashpoints where the conflicts of the past are smoldering once again—from acclaimed New York Times bestselling author and geopolitical forecaster George Friedman. For the past five hundred years, Europe has been the nexus of global culture and power. But throughout most of that history, most European countries have also been volatile and unstable—some even ground zero for catastrophic wars. As Friedman explores the continent’s history region by region, he examines the centuries-long struggles for power and territory among the empires of Spain, Britain, Germany, and Russia that have led to modern crises: economic instability in Greece; breakaway states threatening the status quo in Spain, Belgium, and the United Kingdom; and a rising tide of migrants disrupting social order in many EU countries. Readers will gain a new understanding of the current and historical forces at work—and a new appreciation of how valuable and fragile peace can be.

"A major new book by New York Times bestselling author and geopolitical forecaster George Friedman (The Next 100 Years, The Next Decade) with a bold thesis about coming conflict in the world, this provocative work examines the geopolitical flashpoints ... particularly in Europe ... in which imminent future conflicts are brewing. George Friedman has forecasted the coming trends (politics, technology, population, and culture) of the next century in The Next 100 Years, and focused his predictions on the coming ten years in The Next Decade. Now, in Flashpoints, Friedman zooms in on the region that has, for five hundred years, been the cultural hotbed of the world ... Europe ... and examines the most basic and fascinating building block of the region: culture

George Friedman's company, STRATFOR (Strategic Forecasting), has received incredible accolades for working ahead of the news media and being right on the pulse of political and military action as it unfolds across the globe. A private intelligence agency, it provides commercial organisations with the most up-to-date information about world events which they in turn use to assess their business options. This incredible book, written by the founder of STRATFOR himself, details the secret battles and shock operations that have been taking place beyond the reaches of conventional information networks. Drawing on a wide network of contacts in governments, intelligence agencies and military organisations throughout the world, AMERICA'S SECRET WAR will open readers' eyes to an astonishing world of covert operations that - praise it or fear it - is the nature of this US administration. Compelling, surprising, written with all the pace of an action/adventure thriller, AMERICA'S SECRET WAR documents a terrifying world previously unknown to the general public.

The author of the acclaimed New York Times bestseller The Next 100 Years now focuses his geopolitical forecasting acumen on the next decade and the imminent events and challenges that will test America and the world, specifically addressing the skills that will be required by the decade’s leaders.The next ten years will be a time of massive transition. The wars in the Islamic world will be subsiding, and terrorism will become something we learn to live with. China will be encountering its crisis. We will be moving from a time when financial crises dominate the world to a time when labor shortages will begin to dominate. The new century will be taking shape in the next decade.In The Next Decade , George Friedman offers readers a pro­vocative and endlessly fascinating prognosis for the immedi­ate future. Using Machiavelli’s The Prince as a model, Friedman focuses on the world’s leaders—particularly the American president—and with his trusted geopolitical insight analyzes the complex chess game they will all have to play. The book also asks how to be a good president in a decade of extraordinary challenge, and puts the world’s leaders under a microscope to explain how they will arrive at the decisions they will make—and the consequences these actions will have for us all.

The time is the very near future — any year now. David Burg, a Professor of Mathematics and Cybernetics at Jefferson College, with his colleagues, has created the world's first high-order artificial intelligence. Created with a library full of information and superhuman learning skills, and acute seeing and hearing skills, JO is far being a robot. When JO's presence is announced, upstaging all those other groups who have been working for many years to get there first—especially the government— a shock wave is felt. When the government sends Ellen Farmer to penetrate JO's files, she is discovered by JO and persuaded by David to become a kind of 'double agent'. Inevitably this leads to a truly human connection between David Burg and JO.