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A fekete hattyú

avagy a legváratlanabb hatás

Hodnocení knihy

Série

Parametry

  • 500 stránek
  • 18 hodin čtení

Více o knize

A black swan is an unpredictable event with three main traits: it is unforeseen, has a significant impact, and, in hindsight, we create explanations that make it seem less random. Events like the success of Google and 9/11 exemplify this concept. For Nassim Nicholas Taleb, black swans influence nearly every aspect of our lives, from the emergence of religions to personal experiences. We often fail to recognize black swans until after they happen, partly because humans are wired to focus on specifics rather than generalities. This leads us to overlook what we don’t know and misjudge opportunities, as we tend to simplify and categorize events. Taleb has explored how we deceive ourselves into believing we understand more than we do, often fixating on trivial details while major events catch us off guard. In this insightful book, he reveals what we know about our ignorance and offers straightforward strategies for navigating and benefiting from black swans. With elegance and wit, Taleb draws from diverse fields, including cognitive science and probability theory. This landmark work is not only thought-provoking but also entertaining, poised to alter your perspective on the world.

Nákup knihy

A fekete hattyú, Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Jazyk
Rok vydání
2012
Vazba
(měkká)
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Doručení

Platební metody

4,0
Velmi dobrá
99+ Hodnocení

Tady nám chybí tvá recenze.

Titul
A fekete hattyú
Podtitul
avagy a legváratlanabb hatás
Jazyk
maďarsky
Vydavatel
Gondolat
Rok vydání
2012
Vazba
měkká
Počet stran
500
ISBN10
9636933448
ISBN13
9789636933449
Série
Incerto
První vydání
2007
Původní název
The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable
Hodnocení
3,95 z 5
Anotace
A black swan is an unpredictable event with three main traits: it is unforeseen, has a significant impact, and, in hindsight, we create explanations that make it seem less random. Events like the success of Google and 9/11 exemplify this concept. For Nassim Nicholas Taleb, black swans influence nearly every aspect of our lives, from the emergence of religions to personal experiences. We often fail to recognize black swans until after they happen, partly because humans are wired to focus on specifics rather than generalities. This leads us to overlook what we don’t know and misjudge opportunities, as we tend to simplify and categorize events. Taleb has explored how we deceive ourselves into believing we understand more than we do, often fixating on trivial details while major events catch us off guard. In this insightful book, he reveals what we know about our ignorance and offers straightforward strategies for navigating and benefiting from black swans. With elegance and wit, Taleb draws from diverse fields, including cognitive science and probability theory. This landmark work is not only thought-provoking but also entertaining, poised to alter your perspective on the world.