Seasons of Change: Lessons From the Arab Spring

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The analysis focuses on the critical role of civil-military relationships in the Arab Spring revolutions across North Africa and the Middle East. By examining case studies in Tunisia, Egypt, and Libya, it reveals that a stable civil-military dynamic correlates with less violent revolutions and successful attainment of revolutionary goals. The study challenges the notion of a uniform grievance among the populations, highlighting diverse economic conditions and political pluralism. It offers a framework for military planners to assess potential instability in the region based on these relationships.