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Peter Schwartz

    Tento autor zkoumá dynamické síly, které formují náš svět, a jejich dopady na podnikání a společnost. Jeho práce se vyznačuje provokativním pohledem na současné dění a pronikavým zkoumáním budoucnosti. Prostřednictvím scénářového plánování a vizí budoucího rozvoje nabízí čtenářům hlubší porozumění složitým trendům a jejich potenciálním důsledkům. Jeho literární přínos spočívá v neotřelém pohledu na strategické myšlení a společenskou odpovědnost.

    The Art of the Long View
    Inevitable Surprises
    • Inevitable Surprises

      • 320 stránek
      • 12 hodin čtení
      3,5(7)Ohodnotit

      Events like the collapse of a major energy company or a devastating terrorist attack seem to come from nowhere. Not only are they shocking and disturbing, it often appears that their prevention would have been impossible. Not so, argues Peter Schwartz in this fascinating book. Many 'surprises', he says, soon acquire an aura of inevitability once the underlying patterns of behaviour are examined. And although we cannot do anything about the past, we can try to do something about the future. What, then, is the next big surprise? How might it play out? INEVITABLE SURPRISES covers high-level, universal trends -- from business to international affairs, from biotechnology to climate change -- but presents them in the context of the particular and concrete choices that different people must make. It distinguishes those forces beyond our control from the future that we can influence and help design -- for the world around us, for our organisations, and for ourselves.

      Inevitable Surprises
    • The Art of the Long View

      • 288 stránek
      • 11 hodin čtení
      3,8(765)Ohodnotit

      What increasingly affects all of us, whether professional planners or individuals preparing for a better future, is not the tangibles of life—bottom-line numbers, for instance—but the intangibles: our hopes and fears, our beliefs and dreams. Only stories—scenarios—and our ability to visualize different kinds of futures adequately capture these intangibles.In The Art of the Long View, now for the first time in paperback and with the addition of an all-new User's Guide, Peter Schwartz outlines the "scenaric" approach, giving you the tools for developing a strategic vision within your business.Schwartz describes the new techniques, originally developed within Royal/Dutch Shell, based on many of his firsthand scenario exercises with the world's leading institutions and companies, including the White House, EPA, BellSouth, PG&E, and the International Stock Exchange.

      The Art of the Long View