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The Map and the Territory 2.0

Risk, Human Nature, and the Future of Forecasting

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Like all of us, though few so visibly, Alan Greenspan was forced by the financial crisis of 2008 to question some fundamental assumptions about risk management and economic forecasting. How had our models so utterly failed us? Virtually every day, we make wagers on the future - but, even when we're not driven by factors entirely beyond our conscious control, the maps by which we are steering are often out-of-date. The Map and the Territory is an important attempt to update our forecasting conceptual grid using twenty-first-century technologies, offering a lucid and empirical grounding in what we can know about economic forecasting and what we can't.

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The Map and the Territory 2.0, Alan Greenspan

Jazyk
Rok vydání
2014
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Titul
The Map and the Territory 2.0
Podtitul
Risk, Human Nature, and the Future of Forecasting
Jazyk
anglicky
Vydavatel
Penguin UK
Rok vydání
2014
Vazba
měkká
Počet stran
432
ISBN10
0141978139
ISBN13
9780141978130
Série
Anotace
Like all of us, though few so visibly, Alan Greenspan was forced by the financial crisis of 2008 to question some fundamental assumptions about risk management and economic forecasting. How had our models so utterly failed us? Virtually every day, we make wagers on the future - but, even when we're not driven by factors entirely beyond our conscious control, the maps by which we are steering are often out-of-date. The Map and the Territory is an important attempt to update our forecasting conceptual grid using twenty-first-century technologies, offering a lucid and empirical grounding in what we can know about economic forecasting and what we can't.