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Více o knize
Radical uncertainty highlights the limitations of traditional probability in predicting future events, especially when historical data is inadequate. The narrative explores pivotal moments, such as President Obama's decision-making regarding Osama bin Laden and the unforeseen evolution of technology like smartphones. It critiques the reliability of financial advice that attempts to forecast long-term variables, emphasizing that many significant life events are inherently unpredictable and cannot be accurately assessed through standard statistical methods.
Nákup knihy
Radical Uncertainty: Decision-Making Beyond the Numbers, Mervyn King, Baron King of Lothbury, John Kay
- Jazyk
- Rok vydání
- 2020
- Vazba
- (pevná)
Doručení
Platební metody
Tady nám chybí tvá recenze.
- Jazyk
- anglicky
- Vydavatel
- W. W. Norton & Company
- Rok vydání
- 2020
- Vazba
- pevná
- Počet stran
- 544
- ISBN13
- 9781324004776
- Série
- Štítky
- Naučná literatura, Společenské vědy, Byznys, Byznys & Management, Politologie & Politika, Psychologická tématika, Filosofická tématika, Psychologie, Filosofie, Politika, Ekonomie, Dárky pro dědu, Finance
- Hodnocení
- 4,2 z 5
- Anotace
- Radical uncertainty highlights the limitations of traditional probability in predicting future events, especially when historical data is inadequate. The narrative explores pivotal moments, such as President Obama's decision-making regarding Osama bin Laden and the unforeseen evolution of technology like smartphones. It critiques the reliability of financial advice that attempts to forecast long-term variables, emphasizing that many significant life events are inherently unpredictable and cannot be accurately assessed through standard statistical methods.